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The yield of China's 10-year government bonds fell below 1.80% at the beginning of the session, hitting a new record low.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.Guotai Junan: The rise of leading enterprises and the downward shift of costs are important features of the steel industry entering a new cycle. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that with the change of demand structure, the demand for plates has steadily increased, and the demand for high-end plates such as automobiles, household appliances, shipbuilding, offshore engineering and energy is strong. The added value and profit per ton of products brought by leading companies' active adjustment of product structure, accumulation of products, R&D drive, continuous capital expenditure and equipment investment have been significantly improved, gradually widening the gap with the industry average gross profit. When the industry is facing the marginal losses of most steel enterprises, leading companies still maintain a high profit level by relying on the cost advantages brought by product differences and management, and the rise and differentiation of industry leaders are emerging. On the other hand, with the gradual increase in the supply side and the difficulty in improving the demand side, iron ore has gradually entered a loose cycle, and the steel cost constraints are expected to gradually improve.

The market demand for large-size OLEDs has significantly improved, and the industrial chain has made great efforts to break through bottlenecks such as materials. According to the Securities Daily, on December 12th, Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. officially launched the new MatePad Pro, which uses a 13.2-inch large-size flexible OLED screen. "In recent years, the application scenarios of OLED screens have become more and more extensive, especially the application of large-size OLED screens has shown a rapid growth trend, which will drive the relevant needs of the industrial chain." Ding Bingzhong, a partner of Shanghai Jimao Asset Management Co., Ltd., said in an interview. In the industry's view, the shipments of large-size OLED panels are rising, mainly due to the growing demand for artificial intelligence, games and high-end laptops. The continuous expansion of large-size OLED applications will also drive the demand for OLED materials to increase. "It should be noted that at present, China's OLED materials have not been fully localized, especially the localization rate of terminal materials is still relatively low." Ding Bingzhong said.CITIC Securities: The short-term copper price rebound has a foundation, and it pays attention to the allocation opportunities of the copper plate. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the recent TC negotiation results of copper concentrates, frequent domestic policy warm winds, and the off-season destocking of domestic stocks have been resonantly catalyzed, superimposed with the fall of the US dollar. We believe that the short-term copper price rebound has a foundation and the medium-term fundamental expectations are more solid. We predict that the copper price in the next quarter will run in the range of 9000-10000 USD/ton, which has strong upward elasticity in the short term. It is suggested to pay attention to the allocation opportunities of copper plate. It is suggested to comprehensively select stocks from the dimensions of segment valuation rationality, output growth next year and copper price elasticity.Yuejiang: It is planned to sell about 40 million H shares globally through the IPO of Hong Kong stocks. It is expected to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 23, and Yuejiang announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 13 that the company plans to sell about 40 million H shares globally, with Hong Kong public offering accounting for 5% and international offering accounting for 95%. The offer price will not be higher than HK$ 20.80 per offering share, and it is currently expected to be not lower than HK$ 18.80 per offering share, with 200 shares per lot. It is expected that the shares will start trading on the Stock Exchange at 9: 00 am on Monday, December 23, 2024, Hong Kong time.

Meta released a new AI tool, which can enhance the experience of the Meta-universe. On Thursday, the American technology giant Meta said that it would release an artificial intelligence model called Meta Motivo, which can control the actions of a digital agent similar to human beings and may enhance the experience of the meta-universe. According to the company, Meta Motivo solves the common body control problems in digital avatars, enabling them to exercise in a more realistic and human-like way. "We believe that this research can pave the way for a fully concrete agent in the meta-universe, resulting in a more realistic NPC (non-player character), democratization of character animation, and a new immersive experience."The yield of 10-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market initially dropped by more than 3 basis points to 1.775% and then hit a record low. The yield of 30-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market initially dropped by nearly 4 basis points to 2%, also hitting a record low.Du Zhaocai, former deputy director of the State Sports General Administration, will be sentenced in the first instance today. Today, Du Zhaocai, former deputy director of the State Sports General Administration, will be sentenced in the Wuhan Intermediate People's Court.